Term Premium and Trsy-TIPS Breakeven

Term Premium and Trsy-TIPS Breakeven

The 10yr term premium has risen, as has the 5yr TIPS-Trsy breakeven, in the wake of Mr. Trump’s campaign to subjugate the Fed. Figure 1: Ten year term premium, in % (blue). Light orange shading denotes period between Vought letter to Powell and Trump’s visit to Fed. Source: NY Fed.  Figure 2: Five year…

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Trump’s National Guard Strategy—Plus, the Secret Behind “Huckleberry Finn”

Trump’s National Guard Strategy—Plus, the Secret Behind “Huckleberry Finn”

Jon Wiener: From The Nation magazine, this is Start Making Sense.  I’m Jon Wiener. later in the show: ‘Huckleberry Finn’ is America’s great anti-slavery novel, but there’s a secret behind it: Mark Twain wasn’t always anti-slavery and anti-racist; in fact he fought, briefly, for the Confederacy. Adam Hochschild will explain how Twain changed his mind. …

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Milei’s Message for Economists – Econlib

Milei’s Message for Economists – Econlib

Soon before the election that made Javier Milei president, 108 economists around the world (including prominent names like Thomas Piketty, Gabriel Zucman, and Jose Ocampo) signed an open letter warning about the dangers of “non-traditional” economic thinking. Even at the time, the letter was cluttered with flawed thinking. The letter then bemoans that “the laissez-faire…

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UN peacekeeping mandate in Lebanon faces scrutiny ahead of Security Council vote — Global Issues

UN peacekeeping mandate in Lebanon faces scrutiny ahead of Security Council vote — Global Issues

As members of the UN Security Council negotiate the renewal of the UN peacekeeping force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) ahead of a 31 August deadline, the mission’s future role and capacity are under intense debate. UNIFIL has long been a stabilising presence in southern Lebanon, working alongside the Lebanese armed forces, mediating between parties, and supporting…

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